I was recommended this 35 minute talk from the Mountain West Ruby 2016 conference, and I wanted to share my notes. It captures feelings I’ve had about the pace of technology change, with the rise of Javascript frameworks over the last 4 years. It’s a useful framework for evaluating new technologies, as well as when is the right time for you to adopt them. FWIW I’m definitely a Settler.
Great talk, Brandon!
Links
- (35 min vid) – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9zc4DSTRGeM
- http://confreaks.tv/videos/mwrc2016-surviving-the-framework-hype-cycle
- https://speakerdeck.com/tehviking/surviving-the-framework-hype-cycle
- https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11659611
Notes
- Web developer’s career ins entering a mid-life crisis
- Pain points
- impossible to keep up with new tools
- There’s no way new things can live up to your expectations
- New stacks are less robust and more brittle than older
- The tech you love is now obsolete – it’s never safe to fall in love
- Once a tech gains popularity, it doesn’t go away, it just loses popularity
- The Hype Cycle
- Technology trigger, early adopters
- e.g. Rails 5 minute blog video
- Peak of inflated expectations
- Promise – this will make you 10x more productive
- Trough of Disillusionment
- Prominent defectors – e.g. Zed Shaw “Rails is a Ghetto”
- Slope of Enlightenment
- Plateau of Productivity
- Technology trigger, early adopters
- 3 types of users
- Pioneers – itch for the latest, thrill of discovery
- Vision/Experiments
- Settlers – order from chaos, build infrastructure and community, connect with real users and business need
- Strategy/Synthesis
- Town Planners – get things done at a scale not possible with unproven tech – turn exciting tech boring
- Tactics/Execution
- Pioneers – itch for the latest, thrill of discovery
- How to lose at the hype cycle
- Dismiss new stuff, become commodotized
- Get caught up in the cycle and burn out
- Bet and crash with tech that doesn’t clear the trough
- How to win – depends on your preferences
- What stage is the tech in? Should I concern myself?
- Pioneers ride the wave at Peak of Inflated Expectation
- Settlers start at Trough of Illusionment, full speed at Slope of Enlightement
- Planners start at Slope of Enlightenment, Plateau of Productivity
- The Comfort – No one gets to make you feel ashamed for liking the things you like
- The Caution – There comes a time for you to leave the plateau
- Recommendation
- Day job with productivity
- Side project for fun with less mature technology
- The real promise is on helping you reach the plateau
- To focus on things that have real value, business value
- One the plateau, you have time to think
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